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STA 2023 - Exam 2
Sampling distributions,.confidence intervals, etc
57
Mathematics
Undergraduate 2
11/06/2012

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Term
What are statistics based on?
Definition
Sample Data
Term
What are parameters based on?
Definition
Population Data
Term
What is the sampling distrubution of x bar or p hat?
Definition
the collection of all possible values of x bar or p hat in all possible samples of the same size from the same population
Term
What kind of data do proportions deal with?
Definition
Categorical
Term
What kind of data does Mean deal with?
Definition
Quantitative
Term
Why are x bar and p hat considered unbiased estimators?
Definition
because the mean (expected value) is equal to mu and p
Term
What is the formula for finding the percent probability/zscore?
Definition
estimator - mean/standard error
Term
What happens in a normal distribution as the sample size increases?
Definition
The sample means stay the same the data becomes less spread out (standard deviation gets smaller)
Term
What happens when the sample size increases the original population is not normally distributed?
Definition
With an increase in sample size, the data becomes more nomally distributed, the sample means stay the same, and the data is elss spread out (standard deviation gets smaller)
Term
We can use the Z-table (sample means) when
Definition
the original problem says the data is normal (even when there is a small sample size) when the problem says the data is normally distributed and there is a large enough sample size n>30, or when the sample size is greater than or equal to 30, even if the problem doesn't say the original population was normally distributed
Term
Z score for 90% confidence interval
Definition
1.645
Term
Z score for 95% confidence interval
Definition
1.96
Term
Z score for 99% confidence interval
Definition
2.576
Term
What are inferential statistics used for?
Definition
To make informed conclusions about unknown parameters
Term
For means we use...
Definition
t-distributions (because population standard deviation is unknown)
Term
What are characteristics of the t-distribution?
Definition
Probabilities are based on degrees of freedom df=(n-1),
they are bell shaped and symmetric around 0,
has thicker tails and is more spread out than z-distribution
the larger the degree of freedom, the closer t-distribution looks like a zdistribution, when df is > or equal to 30, than z and t are approximately the same
Term
The following will be correct
Definition
We are __% confident that true parameter falls between ___ and ___.
Of __ samples constructed ___% are expected to capture the true parameter.
The probabliity mu is in any (ie)90% interval is 90%. Once created, it is 0 or 1.
x bar is always in the interval created
CI discusses average, never specifics
Term
The confidence interval will increase if the confidence level increases
Definition
the confidence interval with decrease if the sample size increases
Term
Decreasing the sample size will cause the length of the confidence interval to
Definition
become larger
Term
decreasing the confidence level will cause the length of the confidence interval to
Definition
become smaller
Term
Decreasing the confidence level and sample size at the same time will cause the length of the confidence interval to:
Definition
Not enough information given
Term
decreasing the confidence interval while increasing the sample size at the same time will cause the length of the confidence interval to
Definition
become smaller
Term
Robust
Definition
Not sensitive to moderate departures from normality, but no major outliers will work
Term
Significance Testing
Definition
Tests an assumption about a parameter
Term
What assumptions need to be met for hypothesis testing for proportions?
Definition
categorical, SRS, large enough sample size (np>15, n(1-p)>15)
Term
Null Hypothesis
Definition
Ho, The number used
Term
Alternative Hypothesis
Definition
Whether probablitiy has increased p>po, whether it has decreased p
Term
Test Statistic
Definition
Z score, measures how far the sample falls from the null hypothesis
Term
P-value
Definition
summarizes the evidence, tells statisticians how unusual the data is given Ho is true, or the probablitiy of obtaining this value given Ho is true, and is between 0 and 1
Term
If P-value is less than significance level
Definition
Ho, null hypothesis can be rejected, support of Ha
Term
If P value is greater than significant level
Definition
Fail to reject Ho or show statistically significant evidence for Ha
Term
Can only talk about an individual for a population when the problem states that
Definition
the distribution is normal
Term
Proportions are what kind of data
Definition
categorical
Term
Means are what kind of data
Definition
quantitative
Term
The population and date distributions for a proportion are
Definition
Binary
Term
In what distribution do proportions have the possibility to be normal?
Definition
Sampling Distributions
Term
When can we add two successes and two failures?
Definition
While trying to find the confidence interval for proportions
Term
Interpretations of confidence intervals for population proportions
Definition
Will say "Estimates population proportion" "true proportion" or "proportion of all population"
CANNOT SAY: SAMPLE PROPORTION
Term
When finding the confidence interval for population means
Definition
Always think T,
it is ok to use the z score when N is greater than 30,
MAKE A PLOT AND MAKE SURE THERE ARE NO MAJOR OUTLIERS
Term
Interpretations of confidence intervals for population mean
Definition
"Population mean score is between ___ and ____" "mean of all scores for the population" and "true mean"
CANNOT SAY: SAMPLE MEAN and it CANNOT LEAVE OUT "MEAN" or "AVERAGE" all together
Term
Confidence Intervals are statements about
Definition
Parameters, not statistics or individuals
Probability applies before we take data, after we use the word confidence
Term
Ha: p = #
Definition
Null Hypothesis
Term
Ha: P does not equal #, Ha: p > #, Ha: p < #
Definition
Alternative Hypothesis
Term
Test statistics
Definition
(estimator - # Null Hypothesis)/standard error
Term
When Ha is not equal to
Definition
add together to get p value
Term
below or at .1
Definition
Some evidence for Ha and against Ho
Term
below or at .05
Definition
Strong evidence for Ha, against Ho
Term
below or at .01
Definition
very strong evidence for Ha, against Ho
Term
If P value is less than alpha
Definition
reject Ho
Term
If p value is greater than alpha
Definition
fail to reject Ho
Term
The probability of observing a test statistic at least as extreme as one found in sample data can be determined by looking at
Definition
the p-value
Term
For any hypothesis test, we always
Definition
assume the null hypothesis is true
Term
If all other values are held constant, the test statistic will ____ and the p - value will ____
Definition
The test statistic will increase and the p-value will decrease
Term
The probability of observing a test statistic at least as extreme as one found in sample data can be determined by looking at
Definition
the p-value
Term
How can we get a narrower confidence interval?
Definition
increase the sample size and decrease the confidence level
Term
Other things being equal, the margin of error of a confidence interval increases as
Definition
the population standard deviation increases
Term
Which of the following affects the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion?
Definition
the population proportion, p
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