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FIN 3504 Chapter 5
Investments Analysis - Exam 1
27
Finance
Undergraduate 4
02/10/2010

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Term
return realizations
Definition
- measure past gain in value relative to initial investment
- average over multiple periods - arithmetic vs. geometric vs. dollar-weighted, depends on type of investment, cash flow patterns, etc.
- variation over multiple periods - idea: more volatility suggests investor was taking more risk, not really risk (outcomes already known
Term
annual percentage rate (APR)
Definition
- most loans, bond contracts, etc. quote interest rates in simple annual terms
- the actual amount paid or earned should reflect compounding
Term
real returns
Definition
- most returns are quoted in nominal terms
- real returns adjust out the impact of inflation
Term
return expectations
Definition
- expected return in based on probability and return in different possible outcomes (matter of opinion or educated guess)
- huge amount of analysis required - what are the possible futures (e.g. growth, recession, etc.), what are the probabilities that each will occur, what are the expected outcomes (returns) in each future
Term
scenario analysis
Definition
- discrete probability distribution (used to calculate expected return and standard deviation of return)
- process of devising a list of possible economic scenarious and specifying the likelihood of each one, as well as the HPR that will be realizaed in each case
Term
holding-period return
Definition
rate of return over a given investment period
Term
arithmetic average
Definition
the sum of returns in each period divided by the number of periods
Term
geometric average
Definition
the single per-period return that gives the same cumulative performance as the sequence of actual returns
Term
dollar-weighted average return
Definition
the internal rate of return on an investment
Term
probability distribution
Definition
list of possible outcomes with associated probabilities
Term
expected return
Definition
the mean value of the distribution of HPR
Term
variance
Definition
the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean
Term
standard deviation
Definition
the square root of the variance
Term
risk-free rate
Definition
the rate of return that can be earned with certainty
Term
risk premium
Definition
an expected return in excess of that on risk-free securities
Term
excess return
Definition
rate of return in excess of the treasury-bill rate
Term
risk aversion
Definition
reluctance to accept risk
Term
sharpe (or reward-to-volatility) measure
Definition
ratio of portfolio risk premium to standard deviation
Term
mean-variance analysis
Definition
ranking portfolios by their Sharpe measures
Term
inflation rate
Definition
the rate at which prices are rising, measured as the rate of increase of the CPI
Term
nominal interest rate
Definition
the interest rate in terms of nominal (not adjusted for purchasing power) dollars
Term
real interest rate
Definition
- the excess of the interest rate over the inflation rate
- the growth rate of purchasing power derived from an investment
Term
asset allocation
Definition
portfolio choice among broad investment classes
Term
complete portfolio
Definition
the entire portfolio including risky and risk-free assets
Term
capital allocation line
Definition
plot of risk-return combinations available by varying portfolio allocation between a risk-free asset and a risky portfolio
Term
passive strategy
Definition
investment policy that avoids security analysis
Term
capital market line
Definition
the capital allocation line using the market index portfolio as the risky asset
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