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Epi - lec 6&7
Epi
39
Biology
Undergraduate 3
09/25/2012

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Term
census
-cons (5)
Definition
whole population is surveyed.
cons:
-time
-expensive
-need list of everyone
- need to get hold of everyone
-need everyone to volunteer/participate
Term
sample
Definition
portion of population is surveyed
Term
descriptive study vrs. analytical study
Definition
descriptive: describe characteristics of a population
analytical: assess specific associations between factors (exposures) and disease (outcomes)
Term
3 main stages of sampling
Definition
1. determine who/what to sample
2. determine how you're going to choose subjects
3. determine how many you'll need to be confident in findings
Term
validity of results are determined by what step of sampling
Definition
determining how you choose subjects
-if subjects not truly representative of population of interest, conclusions may be wrong
Term
what two criterias should be established BEFORE you start sampling?
Definition
inclusions criteria and exclusion criteria
Term
name the three types of populations
Definition
target population
- (pop we want to study)
source population
- (pop we draw sample from)
study population
- sample participants
Term
describe and discuss relationship between external and internal validity
Definition
external validity: how well can study results be extrapolated to target population
internal validity: how well does study relate to source population?
*if we don't have right answer for internal validity, extrapolation to external validity is pointless
Term
what determines the nature of any extrapolations made from sample to population?
Definition
HOW we sample
Term
briefly list 3 sampling strategies (and sub groups if there are)
Definition
non-probability sampling
probability sampling
- simple random sampling
- systematic random sampling
- stratified random sampling
other:
-cluster
-multistage
Term
convenience sampling
Definition
sampling units are chosen because they're easy to get
Term
judgment sampling
Definition
investigator chooses what s/he deems to be units that are representative of population
Term
purposive sampling
Definition
sampling units are chosen on purpose because of their exposure or disease status (in analytic study)
Term
list pros and cons of non-probability sampling
Definition
pros:
- relatively easy to do
- cheaper if you choose subjects based on convenience
- appropriate for a homogenous population
cons:
- biased results if subjects don't represent target pop.
- can limit how far you can extrapolate results
Term
simple random sampling
Definition
fixed percentage of source population is chosen using random process with all individs having equal chance of being chosen.
sampling frame must be known.
Term
systematic random sampling
Definition
good when you don't have complete list of individuals in pop to be smapled.
inidvids must be sequentaially availabe ( ie cattle running through chute)
sampling interval (j) is computed
j = study pop size/required sample size
starting point randomally selceted
Term
stratified random sampling
Definition
before participants chosen, sampling frame broken down into strata based on some factor likely to influence level of characteristics being measured. random sampling done within each strata. percentage sampled within each strata does not have to be the same in al groups.
Term
cluster sampling
-pros
Definition
sampling unit is a group of individuals with things in common. the unit of concern is individuals within the group. ALL individuals in sampling units are tested. (can be either nonprobability or probability )
pros:
- easier to get list of all clusters (farms) in area than to get list of every single animal.
- cheaper/ easier (example: going to test all animals in 20 heards than driving around to test 5 animals on 200 dif farms)
Term
multistage sampling
Definition
sampling takes place at both cluster/group level AND individ level.
convient when indivuals in cluster are so alike that measuring just a few will provide sufficent info.
- if random sampling done, can be more cost-efetive than other propability sampling methods.
Term
precision
-dependent on
Definition
how tight your confidence interval is around your study mean/proportion
dependent on:
- sample size
-variability of characteristics
-sampling strategy you've used
Term
steps to choosing sample size to estimate simple, descriptive characteristics
Definition
1. estimate expected variation of interest from either EXPECTED PROPORTION (p) if you are estimating proportion or EXPECTED POP VARIANCE (σ2) if measuring mean
2. select level of confidence that your estimate will include the true value in the pop (eg 95% CI)
3. specify the desired precision (total width) or the 95% CI (Eg within 6% of true level 95% CI)
4. use appropriate formula to calculate sample size
Term
contrast variance for proportion and means
- give symbols and meanings
Definition
variance proportions
- p = proportion of individs that have attriubte
- q = proprotion of individs that don't have attribute
variance means:
- x = individual value, -x- = mean value
- variacne = standard deviation ^2
Term
descibe level of confidence (Za) in descriptive studies and analytic studies
Definition
descriptive studies
- desired confidence htat our estimate is close to the true pop value

analytic studies:
- our certainity that observed differences are real and not due to chance alone
Term
describe precision (L)
Definition
"allowable error" or margin or error
Term
n = Za^2 * σ2/L^2 is used to calculate sample size for what?
Definition
estimating a mean
Term
n = Za^2 *p*q/L^2 is used to calculate sample size for what?
Definition
estimating a proprotion
Term
Za
Definition
confidence
Term
σ2
Definition
variance
Term
L
Definition
allowable error
Term
p
Definition
estimate of pop proportion
Term
steps for choosing sample size to test for difference between 2 groups with respect to a factor
Definition
1. state null hypothesis and either 1- or 2- sided alternative hypothesis
2. determine what it is you're comparing (means or proportions)
3. determine how much of a difference between the groups you want to detect (and expected σ2 if necessary)
4. set alpha and beta (confidence and power)
5. use appropriate formula or table to estimate sample size
Term
power (Z(B))
Definition
ability of study to detect differences between groups when real differences exists
Term
type I error and Type II error
Definition
Type I: rejuect null hypoth when it is true
- false claim

Type II: accepting Ho when it is false
- missed opportunity
Term

[image]

this equation is used to calculate sample size when?

Definition
when comparining 2 proportions
Term

[image]

this equation is used to calculate sample size when?

Definition
when comparing two means
Term
what happens to number of subjects needed per group if we want more power to be able to detect statisically significant difference between two groups
Definition
with increased power, there will be decreased B value, and thus number of subjects needed in each group will increase
Term
what happens to number of subjects needed per group if we think that the prevalence of one group is raised? ie there is a bigger difference between the two groups?
Definition
fewer group members are needed
Term
contrast detectability of disease when there is a large or small association
Definition
large association = easier to detect
small association = harder to detect
Term
name four times you need to increase sample size
Definition
-size difference between 2 means of proportion decreases
- level of power to detect a difference between 2 groups increases
- number of confounders controlling increases
- number of hypotheses tested increase
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