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UF STA2023
Exam 2
68
Mathematics
Undergraduate 2
07/22/2010

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Term
Population
Definition
The set that consists of all the subjects of interest
Term
Sample
Definition
Subset of the population
Term
Observational study
Definition
The researcher observes values of the response variable and explanatory variables for the sampled subjects, without
anything being done to the subjects (such as imposing a treatment)
Term
Sample Survey
Definition
Type of observational study. A sample
survey selects a sample of people from a population and interviews them
to collect data.
Term
Experiment
Definition
Assigning subjects to certain
experimental conditions and then observing outcomes on the response
variable. The experimental conditions, which correspond to assigned values of the explanatory variable, are called treatments.
Term
Is observational or experimental better? Why?
Definition
An experiment reduces the potential for lurking variables to a ffect the result. Thus, an experiment gives the researcher more control over outside infuences.

Also, notice that we can not determine cause and e ffect merely from an observational study. Remember that association does not imply causation. Hence, cause and e ect can only be established through rigorous experimentation.

Unfortunately, experiments are not always possible due to ethical reasons,
time considerations and other factors. Therefore, it is important to do
observational studies properly.
Term
Sampling frame
Definition
List of subjects in the population from which the sample is taken, ideally it lists the entire population of interest
Term
Random Sampling
Definition
The best way of obtaining a sample that is
representative of the population
Term
Simple random sampling (SRS)
Definition
Each possible sample of that size has the same chance of being selected
Term
Margin of error
Definition
Tells how well the sample estimate predicts the population percentage (1/sqrt n * 100%)
Term
Convenience sample
Definition
Type of sample survey that is easy to obtain. Some problems with convenience samples are:
- Unlikely to be representative of the population.
- Often severe biases result from such a sample.
- Results apply ONLY to the observed subjects.
Term
Volunteer sample
Definition
The subjects volunteer to be part of it. Volunteers do not tend to be representative of the entire population. Type of convenience sample
Term
Bias
Definition
Tendency to systematically favor certain parts of the population over
others.
Term
Sampling bias
Definition
Bias resulting from the sampling method such as using nonrandom samples or having under-coverage.
Term
Nonresponse bias
Definition
Occurs when some sampled subjects cannot be reached or refuse to participate or fail to answer some questions.
Term
Response bias
Definition
Occurs when the subject gives an incorrect response or the question is misleading.
Term
Experimental units
Definition
The subjects of an experiment; the entities that we measure in an experiment.
Term
Treatment
Definition
A specific experimental condition imposed on the subjects of the study; the treatments correspond to assigned values
of the explanatory variable.
Term
Explanatory variable
Definition
Defi nes the groups to be compared with
respect to values on the response variable.
Term
Response variable
Definition
The outcome measured on the subjects to
reveal the e ffect of the treatment(s).
Term
Control/Comparison group
Definition
Allows the researcher to analyze the
e ffectiveness of the primary treatment.
Term
Randomization
Definition
It helps to eliminate the e ffects of lurking variables and confounding, and also helps to reduce researcher bias.
Term
Replication
Definition
Allows us to attribute observed e ffects to the treatments rather than ordinary variability.
Term
Main components of a good experiment
Definition
Randomization, replication, control/comparison group
Term
Placebo
Definition
dummy treatment
Term
Placebo effect
Definition
An improvement in health due not to any treatment but only to the patient's belief that he or she will improve.
Term
3 things randomly assigning subjects does
Definition
-Eliminate bias that may result from the researcher assigning the subjects.
-Balance the groups on variables known to aff ect the response.
-Balance the groups on lurking variables that may be unknown to the
researcher.
Term
3 things replication does
Definition
-The di fference due to ordinary variation is smaller with larger samples.
-We have more confin dence that the sample results reflect a true diff erence due to treatments when the sample size is large.
-Since it is always possible that the observed eff ects were due to chance alone, replicating the experiment also builds con fidence in
our conclusions.
Term
Double-blinded
Definition
Neither the subjects nor the investigators working with them know which treatment each subject
is receiving
Term
Double-blind controls what type of bias?
Definition
Response
Term
3 types of observational study?
Definition
Sample, retrospective, prospective
Term
Sample survey
Definition
Attempts to take a cross section of a population at the current time
Term
Retrospective study
Definition
Looks into the past
Term
Prospective study
Definition
Follows subjects into the future
Term
3 forms of randomization sample surveys use
Definition
Simple random sampling, clustered sampling, and stratified random sampling
Term
Case-control study
Definition
A retrospective observational study in which subjects who have a response outcome of interest (the cases) and subjects who have the other response outcome (the controls) are matched and compared on an explanatory variable.
Term
Factors
Definition
Categorical explanatory variables in an experiment
Term
Levels
Definition
Factor's possible values
Term
Multifactor experiment
Definition
Uses a single experiment to analyze the effects of two or more explanatory variables on the response.
Term
Matched pairs design
Definition
The subjects receiving the two treatments
are somehow matched
Term
Crossover design
Definition
The same individual is used for the two treatments.
Term
Randomized block design
Definition
The generalization of the matched pairs design, extended to three or more treatments. Each set of matched experimental units is then called a block.
Term
Law of large numbers
Definition
As the number of (independent) trials increase, the proportion of occurrences of any given outcome approaches a particular number in the "long run".
Term
Probability
Definition
The proportion of times that the outcome would occur in a long run of observations.
Term
Independent trials
Definition
Diff erent trials of a random phenomenon are independent if the outcome of any one trial is not aff ected by the outcome of any other.
Term
Relative frequency
Definition
The long run proportion of times that the outcome occurs in a very large number of trials. Unfortunately, this is not always helpful or possible, because
sometimes we can not observe "repetitions" of the experiment.
Term
Subjective
Definition
Your degree of belief that the outcome will occur based on the information available.
Term
Bayesian statistics
Definition
A branch of statistics that uses subjective probability as its foundation.
Term
Complement of the event
Definition
Are not in some other event
Term
Intersection of two events
Definition
Are in one event and in another event
Term
Union of two events
Definition
Are in one event or in another event
Term
Disjoint
Definition
If A and B do not have any common outcomes. That is, if their intersection is empty.
Term
Union of two events
Definition
A and B, consists of the outcomes that are in A or B. Notice that this include the outcomes that are in both, A and
B. We write A U B.
Term
Addition rule
Definition
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
Term
Addition rule (disjoint)
Definition
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Term
Multiplication rule (two independent events intersecting)
Definition
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
Term
Independent events
Definition
The probability that one occurs is not affected by the occurrence of the other event.
Term
Random variable
Definition
A numerical measurement of the outcome of a random phenomenon
Term
Probability distribution of a random variable
Definition
Speci es its possible values and their respective probabilities
Term
Probability distribution of a discrete random variable
Definition
-For each x, the probability P(x) falls between 0 and 1.
-The sum of the probabilities for all the possible values of x is equal
to 1.
Term
Probability density function
Definition
-Each interval has probability between 0 and 1. The probability corresponds to the area under the curve, above the interval.
-The interval containing all possible values has probability equal to 1, so the total area under the curve always equals 1.
Term
Symmetric
Definition
Bell-shaped and characterized by its mean and standard deviation
Term
Why normal distribution is important
Definition
-Many distributions have an approximate normal distribution.
-Approximates many discrete distributions well when there are a large number of possible outcomes.
-Many statistical methods use it even when the data are not bell shaped
Term
Z score for a value of x of a random variable
Definition
The number of standard deviations that x falls from the mean.
Term
Z score for a value of x of a random variable
Definition
The number of standard deviations that x falls from the mean.
Term
Binary
Definition
Has one of two possible outcome
Term
Conditions for the Binomial Distribution
Definition
-Each of n trials has two possible outcomes: The outcome of interest is called success and the other outcome is called failure.
-Each trial has the same probability of observing a "success". This
probability is denoted by p.
-The n trials are independent.
Term
When the number of trials n is large enough so that np and n(1 - p) are
both at least 15, then the binomial distribution can be well approximated by a normal distribution with mean np and standard deviation sqrt (np(1-p))
Definition
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