Shared Flashcard Set

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Theory- Class 3
Game of Nature
29
Accounting
Graduate
02/10/2015

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Cards

Term
Who is the user?
Definition
Current investors, potential/future investors, management, creditors, govt.
Term
What depends on the user?
Definition
the decision
Term
Role of financial accounting:
Definition
supply user with information—accountant’s job is to know what the investor needs
Term
Stewardship Role:
Definition
Investor supplies the information to the accountant (contrasts the role of financial accounting)
Term
Rationale Decision Theory
Definition
Captures the “average” investor’s behavior—not focused on outliers
Logically what should happen- “reasonable”
Term
How does understanding rational behavior help an accountant?
Definition
Helps an accountant to provide the information that investor’s need
Term
What is the objective of the Single Person Decision Theory?
Definition
Objective is to maximize the expected utility
Term
What are the two types of investors?
Definition
1. Risk Averse Investors
2. Rational Investors
Term
Under the Single Person Decision Theory, are probabilities objective or subjective?
Definition
subjective
Term
What is Risk Aversion under the Single Person Decision Theory?
Definition
Risk increases as the stakes increase
Term
How is risk measured under the Single Person Decision Theory?
Definition
- Diminishing Returns (utility): As we increase utility, eventually payoff diminishes (plateaus)
- Square roots, logs, natural logs
Term
If there is no risk under the Single Person Decision Theory what happens?
Definition
There is NO AVERSION
Term
Conditional Probability Table:
Definition
Establishes the probabilities of several outcomes
If a probability is below 50%, no bueno. We must use Bayes Theorem to help use combine probabilities to give us the outcome we would like.
Term
How do we use Bayes Theorem to get the probabilities we "want"?
Definition
Combine prior probabilities with information systems to get posterior probabilities
Term
How do we test quality of financial statements?
Definition
o Ratios
o Variances
o Actual vs. budgeted
o Revisions & Restatements
o Stock Price
o Accruals – especially those based on estimations
Term
Issues with Decision Theory
Definition
-Prior probabilities—are they accurate?
-Specifying payoffs
-Specifying utilities
-Information systems
-Conclusions
-States of nature
Term
Easton & Zmijewski investigated what?
Definition
Investigated the response of stock prices to accounting earnings announcement
Term
If accounting information is "useful" what would happen?
Definition
The stock price would react accordingly
Term
How do we measure accounting information?
Definition
Focus on earnings announcement & the returns after the announcement- releasing information to the market
- is the info good/bad?
-Compare the earnings announcement to analysts forecasts
Term
CPE= AKA "CAR"
Definition
= Abnormal stock price return
Term
FE=
Definition
=Forecast error
Term
How is Price determined?
Definition
discounted PV of expected dividends
• Numerator: expected dividends
• Denominator: Discount rate
• Beta= Systematic risk
• Greater firm risk→ greater beta → greater discount rate
• Results in lower price & lower returns
Term
Easton & Zmijewski determined ERC's vary..why is this?
Definition
Greater ERC, greater revision
Greater ERC, greater beta
Term
Easton & Zmijewski determined that...
Definition
Information systems are informative
Term
The conceptual framework is based in part on what theory?
Definition
Decision Theory
Term
Useful information is ___ and ___
Definition
relevant and faithful in representation
Term
How does the financial statement improve decision making?
Definition
by refining posterior state probabilities
Term
Does utility increase proportionally with payoffs?
Definition
No, eventually they plateau/diminish
Term
Certainty Equivalent
Definition
A guaranteed return that someone would accept, rather than taking a chance on a higher, but uncertain, return
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