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Statistics Numbuh 2!
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92
Mathematics
Undergraduate 4
10/05/2013

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Term
Bivariate descriptive statistics
Definition
are used to describe relationships between two variables
Examples:
Height and weight
Smoking status and lung cancer incidence
Term
Appropriate statistic depends on the
Definition
variables’ level of measurement
Term
Crosstabulation
Definition
Researchers crosstabulate the frequencies of all categories of two variables in a two-dimensional frequency distribution
Term
Crosstabulated variables should be
Definition
nominal level (or ordinal level with a small number of categories)
Term
Risk indexes
Definition
have been developed to describe risk outcomes and facilitate clinical decision making
Term
Risk indexes capture two aspects of the effects of risk exposure
Definition
absolute and relative risk
Term
Absolute risk
Definition
Indexes quantify the actual amount of risk related to different exposures
Term
Relative risk
Definition
Indexes compare risks in the two risk exposure groups
Term
Absolute risk
Definition
is the proportion of people with a negative outcome
Term
Absolute risk reduction
Definition
is the absolute difference between the two risk groups
Term
Relative risk
Definition
is the ratio of absolute risks (adverse outcomes) in the two groups
Term
The odds
Definition
is the proportion of people in each risk group who have the adverse outcome, relative to the proportion who do not
Term
In many cases, the value of RR and OR
Definition
are similar
Term
A correlation
Definition
is a bond or connection between variables
Term
Correlations between two quantitative variables can be graphed in
Definition
a scatterplot
Term
A scatterplot
Definition
graphs the values of one variable on the X axis and the values of the second one on the Y axis of a graph
Term
A scatterplot indicates whether the variables have a
Definition
linear relationship with each other
Term
Scatterplots indicate
Definition
direction and magnitude of the relationship
Term
curvilinear relationship
Definition
Sometimes data points are not linearly related—they are positively or negatively correlated, but only up to a point, then the relationship changes
Term
A correlation coefficient
Definition
is a statistic that summarizes the magnitude and direction of relationships between two variables
Term
Most widely used correlation coefficient
Definition
Pearson's R
Term
Pearson’s r
Definition
is computed with variables that are interval- or ratio-level measures
Term
1.00 = Perfect positive relationship
E.g., a flat $1 tax for every $5 earned
.35 = Weak/moderate positive relationship
E.g., nurses’ degree of autonomy and job satisfaction (those with more autonomy are somewhat more satisfied)
.00 = No relationship
E.g., nurses’ degree of autonomy and height (tall and short nurses equally autonomous)
-.20 = Weak negative relationship
E.g., diabetic knowledge and a person’s age (older people are somewhat less knowledgeable)
-.70 = Strong negative relationship
E.g., levels of depression and life satisfaction (those with high levels of depression have lower life satisfaction)
Definition
Just look at lol
Term
A correlation between two variables never implies
Definition
that one variable caused the other
Term
Inferential statistics
Definition
for coming to conclusions about what is probably true in a population, based on sample values
Term
Descriptive statistics—
Definition
statistics—for describing samples
Term
Inferential statistics uses the __________ to provide guidance on what is probably true
Definition
laws of probability
Term
Null hypothesis
Definition
is that the deck is fair—not “rigged”
Term
Alternative hypothesis
Definition
Deck is rigged
Term
Probability distributions
Definition
are similar to frequency polygons (or histograms)
Term
They graph the probabilities of
Definition
all events that could occur
Term
Probability density function =
Definition
Probability distribution for continuous variables
Example: A distribution of IQ scores for a population of 10,000 10-year-old children
Population mean = 100.0 = μ
Population SD = 15.0 = σ
Term
A ________________ is the distribution of an infinite number of sample means from the population, for samples of a given size
Definition
sampling distribution of the mean
Term
a mathematic formulation, shows that the mean of a sampling distribution of the mean always equals the population mean
Definition
The central limit theorem
Term
If population values are normally distributed
Definition
so is the sampling distribution of the mean
Term
The ________ is the standard deviation of a theoretical sampling distribution
Definition
standard error of the mean (SEM)
Term
The larger the SEM
Definition
the less likely it is that a sample mean is a good estimate of the population mean
Term
SEMs are never
Definition
known, but can be estimated
Term
The estimated SEM =
Definition
the samples’ standard deviation
Term
Statistical Inference Approaches
Two basic approaches
Definition
Parameter estimation
Hypothesis testing
Term
Parameter estimation
Definition
is used to estimate a population value—e.g., a mean, percentage, or odds ratio
Term
An estimate can be
Definition
A point estimate
An interval estimate
Term
A ________ involves the calculation of a single value as the estimate of the parameter
Definition
point estimate
Term
A point estimate is thus simply the
Definition
value of the descriptive statistic, like a mean
Term
An _______________ provides a range of values within which the population value has a specified probability of lying
Definition
interval estimate
Term
Interval estimation involves constructing ___________ around the point estimate
Definition
confidence intervals
Term
A 95% _________ designates the range of values within which the parameter has a 95% probability of lying
Definition
confidence interval (95% CI)
Term
Constructing a CI involves calculating
Definition
confidence limits (the upper and lower limit of what is probable, at the specified probability level)
Term
The most commonly reported CIs are
Definition
95% and 99%
Term
The ___________ is similar to a normal distribution—bell shaped and symmetric
Definition
t distribution
Term
CIs can be developed
Definition
around any statistic
Term
CIs are frequently
Definition
computed around proportions/percentages and risk indexes like Relative Risk and the Odds Ratio
Term
The theoretical distribution for constructing CIs in these scenarios is the
Definition
binomial distribution
Term
CIs around proportions and risk indexes are rarely
Definition
symmetric
Term
Like the CI around a mean, the larger the sample size
Definition
the smaller the CI
Term
slide 28 Chapter 5!
Definition
Term
(second broad approach to statistical inference) uses laws of probability to help researchers make objective decisions about accepting or rejecting a null hypothesis
Definition
Hypothesis testing
Term
In most cases, ________________ states a prediction that variables in the study are NOT related, e.g.:
Cigarette smoking is unrelated to lung cancer
Turning patients is unrelated to the incidence of pressure ulcers
Definition
a null hypothesis
Term
The null hypothesis contrasts with researchers’ _____________, which typically states a prediction that variables in the study ARE related, e.g.:
Cigarette smoking is related to lung cancer
Turning patients is related to the incidence of pressure ulcers
Definition
actual research hypothesis
Term
is similar to English-based criminal justice system
The accused is assumed to be innocent
Definition
Hypothesis testing
Term
Error Risk in Hypothesis Tests
Definition
Without data from the population, researchers make decisions about accepting or rejecting the null hypothesis based on incomplete information
Term
There is always a
Definition
risk of error
Term
The null hypothesis is really true in the population, and the researcher accepts it as true
Definition
true negative
Term
The null hypothesis is really false in the population, and the researcher rejects it
Definition
true positive
Term
The null hypothesis is really true in the population, but the researcher rejects it (a false positive)
E.g., an ineffective intervention is erroneously considered effective
Definition
Type I error
Term
The null hypothesis is really false in the population, but the researcher accepts it (a false negative)
E.g., an effective intervention is erroneously considered ineffective
Definition
Type II error
Term
Type I errors are controlled through
Definition
the level of significance, the probability accepted as the risk of a false positive
Term
The ______________ is the area in the theoretical probability distribution corresponding to a rejection of the null hypothesis
Definition
level of significance or alpha (α)
Term
The probability of committing a Type II error is called
Definition
BETA
Term
Researchers cannot control β like they can control α, but they
Definition
can take steps to reduce the risk of β (to increase power)
Term
The most straightforward way to increase power is to
Definition
increase sample size
Term
Researchers calculate a _______ using their sample data
Definition
test statistic
Term
They reject the null hypothesis if the test statistic falls
Definition
at or beyond a critical region on the theoretical distribution for their test statistic; they accept the null hypothesis otherwise
Term
When the null hypothesis is rejected, the results are
Definition
statistically significant
Term
If the null hypothesis is retained (whenever p > .05),
Definition
the results are statistically nonsignificant
Term
A statistically significant result is one that has a high probability of being
Definition
“real” in the population, and probably does not merely reflect a chance fluctuation
Term
Statistical significance does not mean the result is
Definition
important, relevant, or clinically meaningful
Term
A _______ is one that uses both tails of a sampling distribution to determine the critical region (the region for rejecting the null hypothesis)
Definition
two-tailed test
Term
A ________________ is one that uses only one tail of a sampling distribution in determining the critical region
Definition
one-tailed test
Term
A one-tailed test may be appropriate if
Definition
the alternative hypothesis is directional
Term
Two-tailed tests are more conservative (have less statistical power) than
Definition
one-tailed tests, but researchers should have a strong justification for looking in only one tail
Term
An ____________________ is a condition relating to the population that is accepted as being true without proof
Definition
assumption for statistical tests
Term
Most tests assume random sampling _______________
This assumption is widely ignored
Ideally, though, samples are reasonably representative of the populations from which they are drawn
Definition
from a population
Term
A parametric test
Definition
Involves estimating a population parameter
Typically assumes the dependent variable is normally distributed in the population
Has a dependent variable that is measured on an interval (or approximately interval) or ratio scale
Term
A nonparametric test:
Definition
Does not involves estimating a population parameter
Makes no assumptions about how the dependent variable is distributed in the population (so they are sometimes called distribution-free statistics)
Often involves a dependent variable that is measured on an ordinal or nominal scale
Term
Nonparametric tests:
Definition
Easier to compute, no need to worry about distributional assumptions
Term
Parametric tests
Definition
More powerful (all else equal, they have lower probability of a Type II error)
Term
Between-subjects tests
Definition
Used when groups being compared are different, unrelated people
Term
Within-subjects tests:
Definition
Used when groups being compared are the same people
Term
A concept widely used in statistical testing
Refers to the number of components that are free to vary around a parameter
Definition
Degrees of freedom (df)
Term
For manual computations
Definition
Select the test statistic (which depends on a number of factors, like number of groups being compared)
Specify level of significance (α)
Decide on one-tailed versus two-tailed test
Calculate test statistic using appropriate formulas
Calculate degrees of freedom
Compare test statistic to tabled value for appropriate df and α
Decide whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis
Term
For computer analysis:
Definition
Select the test statistic
Specify level of significance (α)
Decide on one-tailed versus two-tailed test
Instruct the computer accordingly
The computer will calculate the test statistic, df, and the actual probability level
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