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Psy 1600 Final Exam
Psychology of Thinking
48
Psychology
Undergraduate 2
12/07/2009

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Cards

Term

Expertise

(141)

Definition
An individual who demonstrates consistently exceptional performance on representative tasks for a particular area
Term

Parallel Processing 

(376)

Definition
Handles two or more items at the same time
Term

Serial Processing 

(376)

Definition
Handles only one item at a time
Term

Thinking

(395)

Definition
Process that requires you to go beyond the information given; also has a goal, such as a solution, a decision, or a belief
Term

Deductive Reasoning 

(395)

Definition
Process in which you are given some specific premises, and you are asked whether those premises allow you to draw a particular conclusion, based on the principles of logic. Provides you with all the information you need to draw a conclusion.
Term

Decision Making

(395)

Definition
Process of assessing and choosing among several alternatives; unlike deductive reasoning, decision making is more ambiguous and may have missing or contradictory information
Term

Conditional Reasoning (aka Propositional Reasoning) 

(395)

Definition
Type of deductive reasoning task that tell us about the relationship between conditions (if...then...). Subjects must determine whether valid or invalid.
Term

Syllogism 

(396)

Definition
Type of deductive reasoning problem that consists of two statements that we must assume to be true, plus a conclusion. Refer to quantities, so they use all, none, some, etc. Subjects must determine if valid, invalid, or indeterminate. 
Term

Propositional Calculus 

(397)

Definition

A system for categorizing the kinds of reasoning used in analyzing propositions or statements.

 

[Affirm antecedent: valid

Affirm consequent: invalid

Deny antecedent: invalid

Deny consequent: valid]

Term

Antecedent

(397)

Definition
Refers to the first proposition or statement; "if" part of the statement
Term

Consequent

(397)

Definition
Refers to the proposition that comes second; consequence ("then..." part)
Term

Affirming the Antecedent

(397)

Definition
You say the "if..." part of the sentence is true (valid)
Term

Affirming the Consequent 

(397)

Definition
Say the "then..." part of the sentence is true (invalid)
Term

Denying the Antecedent

(398)

Definition
You say the "if..." part of the sentence is false (invalid)
Term

Denying the Consequent 

(398)

Definition
You say the "then..." part of the sentence is false (valid)
Term

Heuristic-Analytic Theory

(398)

Definition
Jonathan Evans's theory that people may initially use a heuristic that is quick and generally correct, but may pause and switch to a more effortful analytic approach that requires working memory and serial processing in order to realize that their initial conclusion would not necessarily be correct.
Term

Belief-Bias Effect

(401)

Definition
Occurs in reasoning when people make judgments based on prior beliefs and general knowledge, rather than on the rules of logic; in general, people make errors when the logic reasoning problem conflicts with their background knowledge.
Term

Confirmation Bias

(402)

Definition
Preferring to try and confirm a hypothesis, rather than disproving it.
Term

Heuristics

(406)

Definition
General strategies that typically produce a correct solution
Term

Representativeness Heuristic 

(407)

Definition
When we judge that a sample is likely f it is similar to the population from which the sample was selected
Term

Representative

(407)

Definition
When a sample is similar in important characteristics to the population from which it was selected.
Term

Small-sample fallacy 

(409)

Definition
When people assume that small samples will be representative of the population from which they are selected (small samples often reveal an extreme proportion, rather than a true one; therefore, the small-sample fallacy often leads us to incorrect decisions).
Term

Base rate

(409)

Definition
How often an item occurs in the population
Term

Base-rate fallacy

(409)

Definition
Underemphasizing important information about base rate (i.e. Jack, engineers, lawyers problem from book)
Term

Bayes' Theorem 

(410)

Definition
States that judgments should be influenced by two factors: the base rate and the likelihood ratio.
Term

Likelihood ratio

(410)

Definition
Assesses whether the description is more likely to apply to Population A or Population 
Term

Conjunction rule

(411)

Definition
The probability of the conjunction of two events cannot be larger than the probability of either of its constituent events.
Term

Conjunction fallacy 

(411)

Definition
When people jude the probability of the conjunction of two events to be greater than the probability of a constituent event (i.e. Linda problem from the book)
Term

Availability heuristic

(413)

Definition
When you estimate the frequency or probability in terms of how easy it is to think of relevant examples of something.
Term

Recognition heuristic

(417)

Definition
Typically operates when you must compare the relative frequency of two categories; if you categorize one category, but not the other, you conclude that the recognized category has the higher frequency
Term

Illusory correlation

(417)

Definition
Occurs when people believe that two variables are statistically related, even though there is no real evidence for this relationship
Term

Social cognition approach 

(417)

Definition
People form stereotypes by means of our normal cognitive processes; motivational factors are less relevant.
Term

Anchoring and adjustment heuristic (anchoring effect)

(419)

Definition
Says that we begin with a first approximation (anchor) and then make adjustments to that number on the basis of additional information; typically, people rely too heavily on the anchor and their adjustments are too small.
Term

Confidence intervals 

(422)

Definition
Ranges within which we expect a number to fall a certain percentage of the time
Term

Framing Effect

(424)

Definition
Demonstrates that the outcome of a decision can be influenced by two factors: 1. The background context of the choice and 2. The way in which a question is worded (or framed).
Term

Prospect Theory

(425-426)

Definition

People's tendencies to think about possible gains asbeing different from possible losses. Specifically:

1. When dealing with possible gains, people tend to avoid risk

2. When dealing with possible losses, people tend to seek risk

Term

Overconfidence 

(427)

Definition
Means that people's confidence judgments are higher than they should be, based on their actual performance on the task.
Term

Crystal-ball technique

(428)

Definition
Asks decision makers to imagine that a completely accurate crystal ball has determined that their favored hypothesis is actually incorrect; the decision makers must therefore search for alternative explanations for the outcome and reasonable evidence to support the alternative explanations. 
Term

My-side bias

(430)

Definition
Describes the overconfidence that one's own view is correct in a confrontational situation.
Term

Planning fallacy

(429)

Definition
Says that people typically underestimate the amount of time or money required to complete a project; they also estimate the task will be relatively easy to complete.
Term

Groupthink

(430)

Definition
Occurs when a cohesive group is so concerned about reaching a unanimous decision that members ignore potential problems and they are overconfident that their decision will have a favorable outcome (a reason for overconfidence)
Term

Hindsight

(430)

Definition
Our judgments about events that already happened.
Term

Hindsight bias

(430)

Definition
Occurs when an event has happened already, and we say that the event had been available and that we "knew it all along."
Term
Maximizing decision-making style (433)
Definition
When people (maximizers) have a tendency to examine as many options as possible; more challenging when the number of options increases.
Term

Satisficing decision-making style

(433)

Definition
When people (satisficers) have a tendency to settle for something that is satisfactory; not concerned about other potential options elsewhere that could be better.
Term

Ecological rationality

(434)

Definition
Describes how people create a wide variety of heuristics to help them make useful, adaptive decisions in the real world.
Term

Default heuristic

(434)

Definition
If there is a default option, people will choose it.
Term

Attribute substitution

(434)

Definition
Operates when someone asks you to make a judgment and you don't know the answer; would substitute an answer to an earlier but similar question.
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