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Probability
mason's 6th Grade
72
Mathematics
8th Grade
10/21/2012

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Cards

Term
percent
Definition
The term _____means"per hundred"
Term
ratio
Definition
A ____is a comparison of two numbers.
Term
range
Definition
In a set of data, the ___is the greatest value miunus the least value.
Term
fraction
Definition
A ____is in simplest form when its numerator and denominator have no common factors other than 1
Term
Event
Definition
An _____ is a subset of the sample space. The Say that an ___ occurs means that the observed outcome is an element of the subset.
Term
P(A) + P(B)
Definition
Basic Properties of Probabilities (3) If A and B are disjoint events then P(A ∪ B) =___________.
(Remember that A and B are disjoint if A ∩ B = Ø. Another way of saying A and B are disjoint is to say that they are mutually exclusive.)
Term
P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
Definition
Basic Properties of Probabilities (4) For any events A and B, P(A ∪ B) =___________________.
Term
1 – P(A)
Definition
Basic Properties of Probabilities (5) For any event A, P(Ac) =_______.
Term
0
Definition
Basic Properties of Probabilities (1) For any event E, P(E) ≥ 0. The empty set Ø is assigned
probability zero, i.e. P(Ø) = ____.
Term
1,i.e.
P(S) = 1.
Definition
Basic Properties of Probabilities (2) The probability of the entire sample space S is equal to _____
Term
Basic Properties of Probabilities (1)
Definition
Property (1) is a consequence of the fact that we compute the probability of an
Term
Basic Properties of Probabilities (2)
Definition
Property (2) is just a restatement of the fact that the probabilities of all outcomes have to add up to one.
Term
Basic Properties of Probabilities (3)
Definition
Property (3) is also a consequence of the fact that the probability of an event is the sum of the probabilities of the outcomes that make up the event. The reason is that A ∪ B includes all the elements of A and of B. So all their probabilities get included when we compute P(A ∪ B). Furthermore, since A ∩ B = Ø, none of the probabilities gets included more than once when we add P(A) + P(B).
Term
Basic Properties of Probabilities (4)
Definition
Property (4) includes an extra term on the right side of the equation that is not included in the equation of Property (3). The extra term P(A ∩ B) is needed when A and B are not disjoint. The following simple example illustrates why this extra term is needed in this case.
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(70)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(100)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(80)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(Passing)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(grade>80)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(60)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(failing)
Term
P=
Definition
These are the results of the last math test. The teacher determines that anyone with a grade of more than 70 passed the test. Give the probability for the indicated grade. Grade 65 (5 students); Grade 70 (3 students); Grade 80 (12 students); Grade 90 (10 students); Grade 100 (2 students) __________ = P(grade< or = 80)
Term
combination
Definition
a selection of things in any order.
Term
dependent events
Definition
dependent means "determined by another"; if the occurrence of one event does affect the probability of the other.
Term
independent events
Definition
The prefix in means "not"; if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other
Term
permutation
Definition
The number of permutations of n things taken r at a time is = nPr= n!/(n-r)!
Term
simulation
Definition
simulation means "to represent"; a model of a real situation
Term
theoretical probability
Definition
used to estimate probabilities by making certain assumptions about an experiment
Term
Quartile
Definition
root word quart means "four"
Term
Outlier
Definition
Out means "away from a place"
Term
Variablility
Definition
Variable is a value that can change
Term
An experiment
Definition
an activity in which results aare observed
Term
a Trial
Definition
Each observation
Term
Outcome
Definition
Each result
Term
Sample Space
Definition
the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
Term
an Event
Definition
any set of one or more outcomes
Term
Probability of an event
Definition
a number from 0 (or 0%) to 1 (or 100%) that tells you how likely the event is to happen
Term
A probability of O means
Definition
the event is Impossible, or can never happen
Term
A probability of 1 means
Definition
the event is Certain, or has to happen
Term
the probabilities of all the outcomes in the sample space add up to
Definition
1
Term
If the probability of snow = 30%, then the probability of no snow =
Definition
70%
Term
Probability ~
Definition
number of times the event occurs/total number of trials
Term
Rndom Numbers
Definition
each number has the same probability of occuring and no pattern can be used to predict the next number.
Term
Equally likely
Definition
they all have the same probabilty
Term
Mutually Exclusive
Definition
disjointed Events
Term
Mutually Exclusive / Disjointed Events
Definition
When two events cannot both occur is the same trial or an experiment
Term
compound Event
Definition
made up of two or more separate events…to find the probability of a compaound event, you need to know is the events are independent or dependent
Term
independent events
Definition
a coin landing heads on one toss and tails on another toss; The results of one toss does not affect the result of the other, so the events are _______.
Term
dependent events
Definition
drawing a 6 then a 7 from a deck of cards; Once one card is drawn, the sample space changes. The events are ______
Term
If A nd B are independent events
Definition
P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B) {multiply}
Term
probability of two DEPENDENT events
Definition
1. - Calculate the probability of the first event.
2. - Calulate the probility that the second event would occur if the first event had already occurred.
3. - Multiply the probabilities.
Term
If A and B are dependent events then
Definition
P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B after A) {multiply}
Term
A bag contains 3 orange and 3 purple marbles; the chance of drawing a purple marble =
Definition
3/6 or 1/2.
Term
A bag contains 3 orange and 3 purple marbles; if the first draw was purple, what is the probability of the second draw being purple?
Definition
2/5
Term
A bag contains 3 orange and 3 purple marbles; what is the probability of drawing two purple marbles?
Definition
1/2 * 2/5 = 2/10 = 1/5
Term
Odds in favor of an event
Definition
the ratio of favorable outcomes to unfavorable outcomes
Term
Odds against an event
Definition
the ratio of unfavorable outcomes to favorable outcomes
Term
Odds in favor of an event a:b
Definition
a = number of favorable outcomes; b= number of unfavorable outcomes; a+b = total number of outcomes
Term
If Crews Middle School sold 552 raffle tickets for a change to win an XBOX video game, and Mason bought 6 raffle tickets, what are the odds in favor of Mason winning the raffle?
Definition
Favorable outcomes is 6, and the number of unfavorable outcomes is 552-6 = 546. Mason's odds in favor of winning the raffle are 6 to 546 or 1 to 91.
Term
If Crews Middle School sold 552 raffle tickets for a change to win an XBOX video game, and Mason bought 6 raffle tickets, what are the odds against mason winning the video game?
Definition
91 to 1
Term
If the odds in favor of an event are a:b then the probability of the events occurring is
Definition
a/a+b
Term
If the odds in favor of an event are 1:10 then the probability of the events occurring is
Definition
1/1+10 = 1/11
Term
if the odds in favor of Mason winning the video game are 1:91 then the probability of mason winning the game is
Definition
1/92
Term
If there are m ways to choose a first item and n ways to choose a second item after the first item has been chosen, then there are m * n ways to chose all the items.
Definition
The Fundamental Counting Principle
Term
the addition counting principle
Definition
If one group contains m objects and a second group contains n objects, and the groups have no objects in common, then there are m + n total objects to choose from
Term
Find the number of orders in which all 7 swimmers can finish
Definition
7P7 = 7 (the number of swimmers is 7)P7 (All 7 swimmers are taken at a time) = 7!/(7-7)! = 7!/0! =
7*6*5*4*3*2*1/1 = 5040; there are 5040 permutations. This means there are 5040 orders in which 7 swimmers can finish.
Term
Find the number of ways the 7swimmers can finich first, second, and third.
Definition
7P3 = 7 (the number of swimmers is 7)P3 (The top 3 swimmers are taken at a time) = 7!/(7-3)! = 7!/4! =
7*6*5*4*3*2*1/4*3*2*1 = 210; there are 210 permutations. This means that the 7 swimmers can finish in first, second and third in 210 ways.
Term
If no letter can be used more than once, there is ____combination(s) of the first 3 letters of the alphabet.
Definition
only 1; the variations ABC, ACB, BAC, BCA, CAB, and CBA are considered to be the sme combination of A,B, and C because the order does not matter.
Term
combinations
Definition
The number of combinations of n things taken r at a time is
nCr = nPt/r! = n!/r!(n-r)!
Term
A gourmet pizza restaurant offers 10 toppings choices; find the number of 3-topping pizzaa that can be ordered.
Definition
10C3 = 10 (the number of topping choices is 10)C3 (The toppings) = 10!/3!(10-3)! = 10!/3!7! =
10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2*1/4*3*2*1 /(3*2*1)(7*6*5*4*3*2*1)= 120; there are 120 combinations This means that there are 120 different 3-topping pizzas that can be ordered.
Term
A gourmet pizza restaurant offers 10 toppings choices; find the number of 6-topping pizzaa that can be ordered.
Definition
10C6 = 10 (the number of topping choices is 10)C3 (The toppings) = 10!/3!(10-3)! = 10!/3!7! =
10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2*1/4*3*2*1 /(3*2*1)(7*6*5*4*3*2*1)= 120; there are 120 combinations This means that there are 120 different 3-topping pizzas that can be ordered.
Term
Of the first 500 people who visit a carnival, 25 will win doors prizes. What are the odds against winning a prize? 1:19; 1:20; 20:1; 19:1
Definition
1:19; 1:20; 20:1; 19:1
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