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OB Chap 14
managerial decision making
31
Business
Graduate
11/09/2012

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Term
decision making
Definition
defining problems, gathering info, generating alts and choosing course of action
Term
certainty
Definition
condition under which fully informs of preblem, alt situations are known and results of each solution known
Term
risk
Definition
condition under which can define problem, specify ability of certain events, id alt solutions and stat prob of eahc solution leading to a result
Term
probability
Definition
p% of times that a speicifc results would occur if an indiv were to make same decision a number of times
Term
objective prob
Definition
likelihood that specific result will occur based on hard facts and numbers
Term
subjective prob
Definition
likihood that specific result will occur based on personal judgement
Term
uncertainty
Definition
condition under which an indiv does not have the necessary info to assign prob to outcomes of alt solutions
Term
bounded rationality
Definition
herbert simon: limitiation of rationality and emphasizes the decision making process often used by indiv or teams. describes why teams make diff decisions with the same info. tendancies to:
select less than the best
undertake limited search for alts
cope w inadequete info
Term
satisfice
Definition
tendency to select an acceptable rather than optimal goal or decision
Term
escalating committment
Definition
limited search, process of continuing to allocate resources to a course of action desbite feedback that choice is wrong
Term
risk propensity
Definition
avoid making decisions in which outcomes are unknown. prob of loss is overestimated. risk seekers willing to tolerate
Term
problem framing
Definition
tendency to interpret issues and options in either neg or positive terms.ppl in favorable positions tend to be risk adverse bc think have more to lose
Term
knowledge management
Definition
art of adding or creating value by capitalizing on know how epxeriance and judgement
data is observations/facts
info placing data in meaningful context
knowledge is info through experienace
Term
explicit knowledge
Definition
published items
Term
tacit knowledge
Definition
info, competencies pocessed by employees. hard to express bc developed through experiance
Term
evidence based management
Definition
proceeds from the premise that using a better, deeper diagnosis and employing faxts to the extent possible enable managers and leaders to do their jobs better
Term
wisdom
Definition
knowing what you know, and knowing what you don't know. keep learning
Term
pfeffer and sutton
Definition
be cautious of blindly embracing new ideas
constructively question big idea
be cautios of celebrating a "lone genius"
recognize and diagnose potential drawbacks of new idea
Term
limitation of knowledge based management
Definition
sub facts for conventional wisdom
does not include intuition and judgement
evidence for decision making may be contradictory and hard to understand
Term
political decision making
Definition
situations where the parties have separate/different interest goals and values so they employ self serving tactics. the hedonist principle and might equals right
Term
learn from mistakes
Definition
perceptual block:failure to see cause and effect, investigate obvious, remote relationships
cultural blocks:desire to conform to norm, conflict avoidance, drive to be practical
emotional blocks:fear of making mistake, distrust of others
Term
creative stages
Definition
prep stage
concentration stage
incubation stage: ordering of info
illumination stage:moment of discovery
verification stage: testing of the idea
Term
de bono's lateral thinking
Definition
deliberate process and set of techniques for generating new ideas by changing the way of perceiving and interpreting info. contrasting vertical thinking: logical step by step process of
Term
reverse technique
Definition
examine a probelm by turning it completely around, inside our upside down
Term
analogy technique
Definition
devleoping a statement about similarities among object persons and situations. this business runs like a beehive
Term
cross fertilization technique
Definition
asking experts from other fireld to view the problem and suggest methods for solving. hallmark asking others to write cards
Term
obsbornes creativity process
Definition
3 phase decision making the involves fact finding, idea finding and solution finding
Term
osbornes fact finding stage
Definition
defining the issue and gathering data
Term
osbornes idea finding phase
Definition
generating ideas and leads, brainstorming
Term
osbornes solution finding phase
Definition
evaluating possible courses of action and deciding how to implement
Term
electronic brainstorming
Definition
use of collaborative software tehc to enter and disseminate ideas in real time to all team memebners
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