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| It is the drive to ensure the continuance of the CCP regime that leads to foreign-policy making adaptations |
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| Term 'harmonious world' so vague it is almost useless |
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| The space that civil sociey has to operate it when contributing to foreign policy making is still very restricted |
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| Democratisation may be good for Us-Sino relations but bad for CCP control |
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| Civic organisations meant as instruments of mass mobilisation for CCP |
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- Soft power is the ability to shape the preferences of others and making them do what you want
- Not an arms race but an 'arms walk'
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| China is producing an alternative economic model to the West and this contributes to China's soft power |
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- Political preservation has been the CCP's top priority of FP since the Mao era
- "economic prosperity that allows the CCP to survive"
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- Three-pronged approach to ensuring CCP survival: avoid public leadership splits, quell social unrest, ensure that the PLA is loyal to the party
- Real danger not in China's astonishing growth but in the deep insecurity of its leaders
- "shed its ideological strait jacket"
- Globalisation is a game China can win
- Goals: participate, reinforce, profit
- Deng: "comparatively free of ideological blinders'
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| Ecoomic relations between the US and China are the single most important peace inducing force at work |
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- The biggest threat comes from a collapsed China because of how interlinked China is with the global economy
- In the domestic interests of China to engage with current IS
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- Chinese military remains outgunned by the West and largely unmodernised today
- No bluewater fleet, no long-range bombers, no military bases abroad, no aircraft carriers
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- China's ability to wield soft power is one the main reasons it may become a threat to the West
- 87,000 'mass incidents' in 2005
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- China is a regional great power and is bcoming a global one
- Move towards collective leadership b/c wanted to avoid the excesses of the Cultural Revolution
- Pragmatic nationalism
- More multilateral engagement has allowed China to influence the rules, norms and structure of China's relationship w/ IS
- 9.6% average growth over the last 20 years but is now slowing
- Gini coefficient 0.47= wealth inequalities
- 2004 BBC poll 48% viewed China's international influence as positive while only 38% for US
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| Under Mao, a key FP tenant was opposing imperialism while simultaneously exporting the Socialist revolution abroad |
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| Mao wanted China to be an alternative to Soviet revisionism and American imperialism while not being a go-between |
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- Mathematical Proposition
- Any socio-economic issue related to development, no matter how minor, has the potential to be multiplied exponentially by China's huge population
- China is growing in ways unlike other great powers
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| Public opinion sets the boundaries of the permissable for FP-making in China today |
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- China's economic success has helped to lead to the development of a civil society
- official-business-academia have more influence on FP than ever before
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| Modernisation of national consciousness with a move away from the 'century of humiliation' mentality |
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| Example of the development from peaceful rise to peaceful development in FP |
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- Maximum-Minimum Priciple
- Only engage w/ IOs when there is maximum benefit with minimal cost
- China no different from any other state
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- China's relations with energy rich but despotic states could be a problem for it in the future
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- China currently has less confrontational, confident and at times more constructive approach to IR
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- Coins the term 'Beijing Consensus'
- Economic development is chaotic but should be minimised by control by the state
- Innovation is key
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- 'Partnership of Equals'
- Proposes G2 partnership and believes it is the most important bilateral relationship of 21st century
- Washington must recognise China as a true economic power
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- 'Double gamble' by US and China
- Argues China has kept its end of the bargain so now US needs to
- Chinese recognise that reliance on force is counterproductive
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- China's embrace of globalisation has enhanced productivity and benfitted customers around the world
- One stumbling block is China's undervalued currency
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- China's forces do not equal US forces
- Only halfway through modernisation; about another 30 years to go
- Chinese strategic intentions clear but their tactics hidden
- Bottom line: peace through strength
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- Use military in 3 ways: respond to crises, contribute to deterrence and enhance regional dialogue and understanding
- Using current capabilities to project power in the present
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- Power transition theory
- May be conflict int he future but currently China stabilises status quo by not getting aggressive
- If China satisfied, unlikely to clash in the near future but will have a unique opportunity for cooperation
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- US competes more effectively for regional influence by cooperating with China than trying to contain it
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- Necessary for US and China leaders to fully impart and communicate with each other about their respective strategies in the region
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- US and China must cooperate for 'harmonious world' to work
- Mutual understanding and strategic mutual trust
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- America's edge will endure in the near future at least
- Globalisation enhances US power because it can exploit the system
- Too much hype about China
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| China must be the most self-aware rising power in history |
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- China as a rising power
- jackal vs. lion state
- Protects what it has but wont take great risks unless attacked
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| A great power but not (yet?) a superpower |
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| 5 Principles of Peaceful Coexistence |
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- Respect for sovereignty
- Non-interference
- Non-aggresion
- Peaceful coexistence
- Equality and mutual benefit
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- Economy
- Education
- Technology
- Military
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- No hegemony
- No power politics
- No military alliances
- No arms races
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- Advanced productive forces
- Advanced culture
- Political consensus
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| Peaceful Rise/Development |
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- China will become a great power but will not act as other great powers have
- Greater maturity in the IS and tried to be viewed as non-threatening
- Case Study: Medeiros and Glaser
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- Peace and stability through cooperation
- Focus on economics and trade rather than formal alliances
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