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Epidemiology
General Epidemiology
46
Other
Graduate
03/23/2006

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Term
what is recall bias? When it most important?
Definition
> those with disease are more likely to recall an exposure -- people searching for any explination
> It is most signficant in retrospective studies such as case control studies.
Term
unmasking bias
Definition
> Innocent exposure leads to greater likelihood of detecting disease of detecting disease - Estrogen use →bleeding -> endometrial cancer detection - Aspirin use → bleeding → colon cancer detection
>>the probability of detecting disease is related to exposure status
Term
diagnositic suspician bias
Definition
>because of diagnositic suspician, some cases will be detected earlier than others due to more aggressive surveillance
>>the probability of detecting disease is related to exposure status
Term
Surveillance Bias
Definition
> Surveillance system case ascertainment may not always be complete
> If completeness of case ascertainment differs according to a causal exposure, estimates of the association between the exposure and the disease will be biased

􀂃 Example: – EXPOSURE = Socioeconomic status (SES) – DISEASE = Arthritis (ascertained by physician diagnosis)
– SES → access to medical care → biased arthritis diagnosis

Term
Diagnostic (Classification) Bias
Definition
-> The probability of being classified as having the disease is related to EXPOSURE status
Example: - EXPOSURE = Hypertension – DISEASE = Stroke
– Case review: if hypertensive -> then reviewer more inclined to classify a suspected stroke as a definite stroke
Term
properties of a confounder
Definition
1. Must be a cause of the DISEASE or, at least a marker (surrogate) of an actual cause of the DISEASE
2. Must be distributed differently in the EXPOSED and UNEXPOSED (dataset-related phenomenon)
3. Cannot be an intermediate step in the causal pathway between exposure and disease EXPOSURE → Factor A → DISEASE --> a nuisance association; artifact caused by a an incidental correlation between two variables (think maternal age and birth order)
Term
When is the odds ratio a good estimate of the cumilative incidence ratio?
Definition
1) cases are representative of all people with the disease in the population from which the cases are drawn
2) control are representative of all people without the disease in the population
3) the disease being studied is rare (less than 10%)
Term
wish bias
Definition
Pet theory being promated by the participant
Term
random (non-differential misclassification)
Definition
mis-classification of exposure status NOT based up on disease status (same magnitude of mis-classification of exposure in diseased and non-diseased individuals)
causes bias towards the null
Term
overmatching
Definition
aka unnecessary matching

can cause loss of precision due to making the cases and controls artificially close
Term
cumulative case-control
Definition
- most familiar type of case-control trial
- best when the source cohort is ill-defined or dynamic
- controls can be thought of a sample of the survivors at the end of a follow-up period (a/c)/(b/d) --> OR
Term
case-cohort design
Definition
- best for a well defined source cohort where there is little variation in follow-up time between subjects
- controls can be thought of as a sample of the source cohort at the beginning of the follow-up period (a/t1)/(c/t0) = (a/c)/(t1/t0) -> CIR cases may also be controls in this design, especially in a prevalent disease
Since the cases can be controls, you can use the control group repeated for different diseases, getting around the usual limitation of case-control designs --> only one disease
Term
incidence density design
Definition
- used in case-control studiew with a well defined source cohort and variable follow-up time
- controls can be thought as random sample of the person-time of the source cohort. y1 = person-time in exposed y0 = person-time in non-exposed (a/c)/(y1/y0) -> IRR
controls are select from the instantaneous time period in which each case occurs
- controls may be select multiple times - a control may be case in a later set
Term
case-crossover
Definition
- good for studying the influence of brief exposures on a risk of onset of acute incidents

- cases serve as their own controls

--> Were you doing anything unusual just before this happened?

- used for food poisoning investigations
Term
what is selection bias? what are the types?
Definition
two types:

1. selection into: those who are selected (diseased and controls) are different than those not selected.

2. loss to followup: those who drop out or die are different than those who remain in the study
Term
stratification
Definition
compute measures of association separately for each strata of the confounder
Term
standardization
Definition
Compute summary estimate that is mathematically manipulated to
account for differential
distributions of the confounder
across 2 populations
– creates ‘comparable’ rates/risks

used primarily for age distributions in populations
Term
pooling (Mantel - Haenzsel)
Definition
compute measures of association separately for each strata of the confounder then pool into a summary estimate
--assumes same effect for each strata --harder to compare across studies [image]
Term
effect measure modification
Definition
aka interaction
--heterogeneity of effects: the effect of a risk factor in strata formed by another variable (an effect modifier)
--comparing observed and expected joint effects of the risk factor on the outcome
-implies a different or joint relation at the biological level. (think smoking and asbestos exposure and lung cancer)
Term
type I error
Definition
conclude that a risk factor is associated with outcome when we shouldn't

-- related to p-value
Term
four types of measurement error
Definition
--subject-related -person
--environment-related -white-coat hypertension
--observer-related -person using the instrument or making the assesment
--instrument-related
Term
what is kappa?
Definition
(Io - Ie)/(1 - Ie)

-- proportion above and beyond expected by chance
Term
incidence odds ratio
Definition
odds of being diseased among the exposed divided by the the odds of being diseased in unexposed.
Term
exposure odds ratio
Definition
odds of being exposed among the diseased divided by the odds of being exposed among the non-diseased
Term
definition of effect modification
Definition
incidence of a disease in the presence of 2 or more risk factors differs from the incidence expected to result from their individual effects
--the may be additive (use absolute measures of association) or multiplicative (use relative measures of association)
Term
assessing effect measure modification
Definition
[image]
Term
Epidemiologic Inference
Definition
Making a generalization about a larger group of individuals (population) on the basis of a subset or sample
Term
quadrants of hypothesis testing
Definition
[image]
Term
When is hypothesis testing the most useful?
Definition
When a decision should be made between two course of action. It becomes much harder for nuanced decisions between more than two alternatives.
Term
name two criticisms of hypothesis testing
Definition
1. inferences are more complex than yes/no dichotomous decisions
2. hypothesis testing provides no sense of the magnitude of the assocation
3. provides no proof of the clinical or biological significance of the association
4. rejection of the null hypothesis does not imply that you can embrace the point estimate
5. failure to reject the null hypothesis does not imply that one can reject the point estimate
Term
why is the p-value better (and worse) than hypothesis testing?
Definition
the p-value encorporates the strength of association and role of chance in one number -- encorporates more data but hides it. [image]
Term
95% Confidence Limit Ratio
Definition
ratio of the 95% confidence limits

--if the confidence limits are (0.1 - 2) the ratio would be (2/0.1 = 20)

-- it is a measure of the precision of the estimate and lower the better
Term
decision tree to decide if a variable is a confounder or an effect measure modification
Definition
[image]
Term
what biologically does an effect measure modification imply
Definition
It mean that the two factors noted are interacting biologically to cause the disease
Term
statistical implication of effect measure modification
Definition
the mathomatical model a causal association between exposure and disease must be changed to include both factors
Term
public health implication of effect measure modification
Definition
it allows a better targeting of resources for disease prevention even if there is no biological explination of the assocation
Term
individual implication of effect measure modification
Definition
allows an individual to assess their individual risk better: if you have asbestos exposure don't smoke.
Term
study design implications of effect measure modification
Definition
Since most studies are only powered enough for the main assocation, they need to add subjects or only expect to see evidence of strong effect measure modification
Term
Attributable proportion in the total population
Definition
That fraction of all cases in the total population that are a result of the exposure.
(CI - CI0)/CI
where CI = crude cumulative incidence and CI0 = cumulative incidence in the unexposed
Term
attributable risk (aka cumulative incidence difference)
Definition
amount of risk attributable to an exposure
CI1 - CI0
where CI1 = cumulative incidence in the exposed and CI0 = cumulative incidence in the unexposed
Term
incidence
Definition
(# of new cases)/(population at risk)
Term
mortality
Definition
(# of deaths)/(population at risk)
Term
case fatality rate
Definition
(# of deaths)/(# of cases)
Term
type II error
Definition
Null hypothesis is not true but you do not reject the null hypothesis.
resolved by adding statistical power to the study
Term
calculating the observed vs expected result on the additive scale
Definition
[image]
Term
Describe how you can use relative measures of association in the additive model
Definition
  1. calculate relative measures of assocation and normalize to the group uneffected by either the exporsure or effect modifer
  2. create a 2 x 2 table filled with these relative measures
  3. use observed vs expected using the following formulas:
  4. observed OR = ORxy
  5. expected OR = ORx + ORy - 1 (to prevent double counting the background risk
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