Shared Flashcard Set

Details

Chapter 2
The Misperception and Misinterpretation of Random Data
12
Psychology
Undergraduate 4
09/24/2013

Additional Psychology Flashcards

 


 

Cards

Term
order, pattern and meaning
Definition
We are predisposed to see __ and we find randomness, chaos, and meaninglessness unsatisfying.
Term
motive
Definition
Often we impose order, even when there is no __ to do so.
Term
preconceptions
Definition
Tendency for people's __ to bias their interpretations of what they see.
Term
Intuitions
Definition
Psychologists have discovered that people have faulty __ about what chance sequences look like.
Term
The Clustering Illusion
Definition
The intuition that random events such as coin flips should alternate between heads and tails more than they do has been described by statisticians as ___. [cannot be overcome by repeated examination]
Term
Judgment by Representativeness
Definition
- Best explanation for the misperception of Random Events
- tendency to assess the similarity of outcomes, instances and categories on relatively salient and even superficial features, and then use these assessments of similarity as a basis of judgment.
- "Like goes with like"
Term
Over application
Definition
It is the ___ of representativeness that gets us into trouble.
Term
Misperceptions of Random Dispersions
Definition
The clustering illusion also affects our assessments of spatial dispersions.
Term
Hindsight
Definition
With __ it is always possible to spot the most anomalous features of the data and build a favorable statistical analysis around them.
Term
Regression effect
Definition
When two variables are related, but imperfectly so, extreme values on one of the variables tend to be matched by less extreme values on the other.
- When one score is extreme, its counterpart tends to be closer to the average.
Term
The Regression Fallacy
Definition
The tendency to fail to recognize statistical regression when it occurs and instead to "explain" the observed phenomena with superfluous and often complicated causal theories.
Term
Clustering Illusion & Regression Fallacy
Definition
Main topics of Chapter 2
Supporting users have an ad free experience!