Term
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Definition
| Products, not of irrationality, but of flawed rationality. |
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Term
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Definition
| ___ in the data on which we base our beliefs. |
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Term
| Cognitive Determinants of Questionable Beliefs |
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Definition
- The Misperception and Misinterpretation of Random Data
- The Misinterpretation of Incomplete and Incomplete and Unrepresentative data.
- The Biased Evaluation of Ambiguous and Inconsistent Data |
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Term
| Anchem's Razor, The Law of Parsimony |
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Definition
| Pick the explanation with the smallest number of presuppositions. |
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Term
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Definition
| We use what comes to mind most readily as the basis for making a decision. |
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Term
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Definition
| shortcuts, that sometimes make mistakes, and still give us a solution |
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Term
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Definition
| procedure that always gives you a conclusion, by following a set of rules. |
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Term
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Definition
| __ are almost impossible to get rid of once they are in the general population. |
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Term
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Definition
| Taking a correlational relationship and extrapolating a causal relationship. |
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Term
| Problems with Correlational Relationships |
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Definition
- Third Variable problem
- Direction Problem |
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Term
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Definition
| We look for evidence that supports our hypothesis and ignore the evidence that doesn't. |
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Term
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Definition
| a person who insists on evidence. |
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Term
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Definition
| Critical thinking forces people to ___. |
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Term
| Misunderstanding of Probability |
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Definition
| Probabilities are really accurate for large sample sizes, and less important for small samples. |
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Term
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Definition
| You can find clusters by how you break up the data; create patterns (order) where there are (is) none. |
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Term
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Definition
| High levels of accurate behavior are often followed by inaccurate behavior. (ex: grades) |
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Term
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Definition
| You can affect a player's performance depending on the size of the audience (depending on the skill level of the athlete). |
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Term
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Definition
| A method to lessen the effect of regression (must be more than twice). |
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Term
| There is always hope when |
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Definition
| people are forced to listen to both sides |
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