Shared Flashcard Set

Details

BKM 12
Behavioral Finance
5
Finance
Professional
04/02/2012

Additional Finance Flashcards

 


 

Cards

Term
4 errors in information processing
Definition
  1. Forecasting Errors - too much weight given to recent experience, leading to extreme forecasts
  2. Overconfidence - people tend to overestimate their abilities and the precision of their forecasts. Prevalence of active trading
  3. Conservatism - Investors are slow to update beliefs when presented with new evidence
  4. Sample Size neglect and representativeness - people do not take into account the size of the sample and infer patterns too quickly. favorable news leds to price run ups
Term
(4) Behavorial Biases
Definition
  1. Framing - Decisions are influenced by how they are framed. Individuals may be risk seeking in losses, and risk adverse when it comes to gains
  2. Mental accounting - Specific type of framing which people segregate certain decisions. Gamblers may be more risk seeking when they are winning - house money effect
  3. Regret avoidance - people regret decisions more if they were unconvential. leads to additional charges on "out of favor" or non-blue chip firms
  4. Prospect Theory - original utility curve has dimishing marginal value of wealth, new theory is loss aversion based on changes in wealth.
Term
(3) Key limits to Arbitrage
Definition
  1. Fundamental Risk - Mispricing may get worse before it gets better
  2. Implementation Costs - Often Mispricing cannot be fully exploited due to transaction cost
  3. Model Risk - What if you are wrong? All opportunities to exploit identified mispricing will carry some risk and therefore may limit the willingness to try and exploit it fully.
Term
Limits to the law of 1 price
Definition

siamese twin companies - shell and dutch petrol split profits yet price doesn't always match

Equity carve outs - palm was a subisidary of 3Com, yet was worth more

Closed end funds sell at a discount - reflecting negative alpha

Term
Closed end fund equation
Definition

(Price - NAV )/NAV = (α - ε )/(δ -α + ε)

α = extra return

 ε = expenses

δ  = dividend yield

 

 

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